“The FBI Estimates That 80 Percent Of All Mortgage Fraud Involves Collaboration Or Collusion By Industry Insiders”
Fraud By The Big Banks – More Than Anything Done By The Little Guy – Caused The Financial Crisis
The U.S. Treasury’s Office of Thrift Supervision
noted last year (page 7):
The FBI estimates that 80 percent of all mortgage fraud involves collaboration
or collusion by industry insiders.
This confirms what one of the country’s top fraud experts has said for years: that
it was fraud by the big banks – more than anything done by the little guy – which caused the financial crisis:
William K. Black – professor of economics and law, and the senior regulator during the S & L crisis – explained
last month before to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission why banks
gave home loans to people who they knew couldn’t repay. The whole piece
is a must-read, but here are excerpts from the introduction:
The data demonstrate conclusively that most liar’s loans
were fraudulent, which means that there were millions of fraudulent
mortgage loans because liar’s loans became common (Credit Suisse
estimates that they represented 49% of new originations by 2006). The
data also demonstrate that even minimal underwriting of the loan files
was sufficient to detect the overwhelming majority of such fraudulent
liar’s loans. No honest, rational lender would make large numbers of
liar’s loans. The epidemic of mortgage fraud was so large that it
hyper-inflated the housing bubble, which allowed refinancing to further
extend the life of the bubble (and the depth of the ultimate Great
Recession.
***
In the cases where there have been even minimal investigations (New
Century, Aurora/Lehman, Citi, WaMu, Countrywide, and IndyMac) senior
lender officials were aware that liar’s loans were typically fraudulent.
The lenders could not make an honest business out of selling
overwhelmingly fraudulent mortgages.
Liar’s loans were done for
the usual reason – they optimized (fictional) short-term accounting
income by creating a “sure thing” (Akerlof & Romer 1993). A
fraudulent lender optimizes short-term fictional accounting income and
longer term (real) losses by following a four-part recipe:
A. Extreme Growth
B. Making bad loans at a premium yield
C. Extreme leverage
D. Grossly inadequate loss reserves
Note that this same recipe maximizes fictional profits and real
losses. This destroys the lender, but it makes senior officers that
control the lender wealthy. This explains Akerlof & Romer’s title – Looting: The Economic Underworld of Bankruptcy for Profit.
The failure of the firm is not a failure of the fraud scheme. (Modern
bailouts may even recapitalize the looted bank and leave the looters in
charge of it.)
The first two “ingredients” are related. Home lending is a mature,
reasonably competitive industry. A lender cannot grow extremely rapidly
by making good loans. If he tried, he’d have to cut his yield and his
competitors would respond. His income would decline. But he can
guarantee the ability to grow extremely rapidly by being indifferent to
loan quality and charging weaker credit risks, or more naïve borrowers, a
premium yield.
In order to become indifferent to loan quality the officers controlling the lender must eviscerate its underwriting.
***
There is no honest reason for a secured lender to seek or permit inflated appraisal values. This is a sure marker of accounting control fraud – a marker that juries easily understand.
In other words, banks made loans to borrowers who they knew couldn’t
really repay because the heads of the banks could make huge bonuses
based on high volumes and fraudulent appraisals, and they didn’t care if
their own companies later failed.
In short, they looted their companies and the economy as a whole.
Professor Black brings us current to where we are today:
History demonstrates that if the control frauds get away with their frauds they will strike again.
By allowing the banks to use
their political power to gimmick the accounting rules to permit them to
hide their massive losses on liar’s loans we have made it far harder to
take effective administrative, civil, and criminal sanctions against the
elite frauds that caused the Great Recession. Hiding the losses also
adopts the dishonest Japanese approach that cripples economic recovery
and public integrity.
Prosecuting the elites control frauds can be done successfully. Create a
new “Top 100” priority list and appoint regulators that will make
supporting the Justice Department a top agency priority. That’s how we
obtained over 1000 priority felony convictions of elite S&L
criminals. No controlling officer of a large, non-prime specialty lender
has been convicted of running a control fraud. Only one has even been
indicted.
The FBI has written that any discussion of the crisis that ignores the role of mortgage fraud is “irresponsible.”
But instead of prosecuting fraud, the government just
continues to cover it up.
No comments:
Post a Comment